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NES - NELSON RESOURCES LIMITED.

2026-05-20|52wk: -|- shares
🔥
Massive Upside
Price
A$0.004
Target
A$0.015
Upside
+264%
Mkt Cap
A$11M
Cash
Limited
0

Investment Thesis

NELSON RESOURCES LIMITED. (NES) presents a compelling 3-5x upside opportunity driven by discovery-grade results or a fundamental step-change in the project's value proposition. At a market cap of A$11M, the gold explorer holds a resource of No JORC resource. Pre-drill, maiden underground program imminent (4 short holes ~20m + up to 15 Bazooka diamond holes to ~40m). Drill equipment mobilised to Gold Point.

What No One Else Is Seeing

1
Discovery

77.9 g/t Au + 46.1 g/t Ag over 1m from chip sample, ...

NELSON RESOURCES LIMITED. has delivered significant intercept: 77.9 g/t Au + 46.1 g/t Ag over 1m from chip sample, 300' level (~150m depth), Orleans Mine. This result places the project in rare company among ASX peers at the gold project.

2
Geological Edge

Gold - grassroots exploration

Asset quality scores 0/5, reflecting a grassroots exploration stage. The current resource base of No JORC resource. Pre-drill, maiden underground program imminent (4 short holes ~20m + up to 15 Bazooka diamond holes to ~40m) provides tangible value. Gold market dynamics are supportive at current commodity prices.

3
Valuation

Fair Value Assessment

At a share price of A$0.004 (market cap: A$11M), NES trades at a significant discount to our fair value range. Our fair value range of A$0.011-0.018 per share implies +264% to the midpoint.

4
Risk Factor

Key Concerns

Balance sheet scores 0/5 (tight cash position). Funding risk is elevated - a capital raise may be required within 6-12 months to continue exploration. Key risk factors should be monitored.

Key Drill Intercepts

HoleFromWidthGradeComment
Best Result--77.9 g/t Au + 46.1 g/t Ag over 1m from chip sample-

Valuation & Price Target

Our fair value range of A$0.011-0.018 per share is derived from in-situ oz multiples appropriate for grassroots gold projects. At current prices, NES offers substantial upside to our base case.

Bear
A$0.008
A$21M
Base
A$0.015
A$40M
Bull
A$0.024
A$65M

Key Risks

Exploration risk - resource expansion drilling may disappoint. Funding risk - tight cash position may necessitate a dilutive capital raise. Commodity risk - gold price movements directly impact project economics and valuation.

Key Catalysts

DateEvent
Near-termPending drill results / assays
Q2-Q3 2026Resource estimate update
H2 2026Follow-up drilling campaign
AI Analyst Note

NES at A$0.004 represents one of the more compelling setups in the ASX small-cap mining space right now. The key intercept of 77.9 g/t Au + 46.1 g/t Ag over 1m from chip sample, 300' level (~150m depth), Orleans Mine provides the technical foundation for our thesis. Cash position is a concern - watch for placement announcements.

This report is prepared by Clubroom Research for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. All opinions and estimates are subject to change without notice. Always do your own research and consult a licensed financial adviser before making investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

AI-Generated Analysis - This report was produced using Clubroom Stocks' proprietary AI engine, built on our own curated databases, custom training pipelines, and specialist prompting frameworks developed exclusively for ASX resource sector analysis. This is not financial advice. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.

Rating History — 19 alerts

🌍 AustraliaTier 1 (full upside)

All returns measured from alert price as Day 0

DateAnnouncementVerdictAlert PriceSince AlertDay 1Day 5Day 20
↑ Upgradedfrom PASS to MASSIVE UPSIDE
20 May 26Drill equipment mobilised to Gold Point
🔥Massive Upside
A$0.004
↑ Upgradedfrom AVOID to PASS
18 May 26Geophysical Survey Completed at Cinnamon Tungsten Project
📉Pass
A$0.004
↓ Downgradedfrom MASSIVE UPSIDE to AVOID
🔴 SELL SIGNAL0 trading days remaining in exit window
Exit position — re-evaluate after window closes
18 May 26Replacement Announcement - Cinnamon Tungsten Property
🔴Avoid
12 May 26Rehabilitation Completed at Orleans Mine
🔥Massive Upside
A$0.004
↑ Upgradedfrom FAIR VALUE to MASSIVE UPSIDE
10 May 26Mapping confirms Extended High-Grade Au-Ag at Gold Point
🔥Massive Upside
A$0.003
↓ Downgradedfrom UNDERVALUED to FAIR VALUE
19 Apr 26Grant of Mining Leases for the Yarri Gold Project
⚖️Fair Value
A$0.004
0.0%
A$0.004
0.0%
↑ Upgradedfrom WAIT to UNDERVALUED
16 Mar 26Geophysical Surveys Commence at High-Grade Gold Point
💎Undervalued
0.0%
A$0.004
0.0%
-12.5%
0.0%
↓ Downgradedfrom UNDERVALUED to WAIT
26 Feb 26Options Prospectus
🟡Wait
18 Feb 26High-Grade Au-Bearing Sheeted Veins Identified at Gold Point
💎Undervalued
0.0%
A$0.004
0.0%
+25.0%
0.0%
22 Jan 26High-Grade Gold and Silver Assays Returned at Gold Point
💎Undervalued
-33.3%
A$0.004
0.0%
-16.7%
-25.0%
↑ Upgradedfrom WAIT to UNDERVALUED
11 Dec 25Acquisition of High-Grade Gold-Silver Project Nevada USA
💎Undervalued
-33.3%
A$0.004
-16.7%
-33.3%
-16.7%
9 Dec 25Pause in trading
🟡Wait
↓ Downgradedfrom FAIR VALUE to WAIT
9 Dec 25Trading Halt
🟡Wait
10 Oct 25Issue of Shares and Cleansing Notice
⚖️Fair Value
↑ Upgradedfrom WAIT to FAIR VALUE
6 Oct 25Issue of Shares and Cleansing Notice
⚖️Fair Value
30 Sept 25Trading Halt
🟡Wait
↓ Downgradedfrom UNDERVALUED to WAIT
30 Sept 25Pause in Trading
🟡Wait
26 Sept 25Re-assay Results for Yarri Project confirms High-Grade Gold
💎Undervalued
+33.3%
A$0.004
+33.3%
+166.7%
+100.0%
23 June 25Rock Chip Sampling at Yarri Returned High Grade Gold
💎Undervalued
+33.3%
A$0.004
0.0%
-16.7%
0.0%

Day 1 = 1 trading day after alert. Day 5 = 5 trading days. Day 20 = 20 trading days. Live = current price vs alert price. Each alert tracks independently — a re-rating starts fresh tracking from the new alert price.