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EMR - EMERALD RESOURCES NL

03 Jun 2026, 09:11 AM AEST|52wk: -|- shares
🟑
Wait
Price
β€”
Target
A$3.65
Upside
-
Mkt Cap
A$4.0B
Cash
-
0

Investment Thesis

Asset: 1.33Moz JORC gold (Indicated + Inferred) across Alice River, Tregoora, Northcote, Atric & Reedy in North Queensland's Hodgkinson province; early-stage exploration with 1,700kmΒ² tenement package and hub-and-spoke development concept πŸ—ΊοΈ

What No One Else Is Seeing

1
Geological Edge

Project Assessment

Asset: 1.33Moz JORC gold (Indicated + Inferred) across Alice River, Tregoora, Northcote, Atric & Reedy in North Queensland's Hodgkinson province; early-stage exploration with 1,700kmΒ² tenement package and hub-and-spoke development concept πŸ—ΊοΈ

2
Valuation

Fair Value Assessment

At A$0.25 seed price the implied market cap pre-IPO sits ~A$32–36M for 1.33Moz β€” roughly A$24/oz in-situ, which is cheap for EMR-quality management but entirely pre-revenue and pre-drill-success; IPO pricing will be the real test πŸ“Š

3
Risk Factor

Key Concerns

Resources are almost entirely Inferred, no PFS/scoping study exists, IPO is market-conditions dependent, the free-attaching options create meaningful overhang, and EMR's primary focus remains Cambodia β€” North Qld is a satellite bet 🚨

4
Verdict

WAIT

Compelling optionality play on EMR's brand name and a cheap ounce count, but wait for IPO pricing and early drill results before committing β€” the seed raise is already done and the real entry point is the A$21M IPO 🎯 πŸ“ž Pacgold Ltd | +61 7 3778 6728 | info@pacgold.com.au

Valuation & Price Target

At A$0.25 seed price the implied market cap pre-IPO sits ~A$32–36M for 1.33Moz β€” roughly A$24/oz in-situ, which is cheap for EMR-quality management but entirely pre-revenue and pre-drill-success; IPO pricing will be the real test πŸ“Š

Bear
A$2.24
Base
A$3.65
Bull
A$5.33

Key Risks

Resources are almost entirely Inferred, no PFS/scoping study exists, IPO is market-conditions dependent, the free-attaching options create meaningful overhang, and EMR's primary focus remains Cambodia β€” North Qld is a satellite bet 🚨

Key Catalysts

DateEvent
Near-termPending drill results / assays
Medium-termResource estimate update
AI Analyst Note

Compelling optionality play on EMR's brand name and a cheap ounce count, but wait for IPO pricing and early drill results before committing β€” the seed raise is already done and the real entry point is the A$21M IPO 🎯 πŸ“ž Pacgold Ltd | +61 7 3778 6728 | info@pacgold.com.au

This report is prepared by Clubroom Research for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. All opinions and estimates are subject to change without notice. Always do your own research and consult a licensed financial adviser before making investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

AI-Generated Analysis - This report was produced using Clubroom Stocks' proprietary AI engine, built on our own curated databases, custom training pipelines, and specialist prompting frameworks developed exclusively for ASX resource sector analysis. This is not financial advice. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.

Mine Sites(1)

Rating History β€” 5 alerts

🌍 Australia β€” Tier 1 (full upside)

All returns measured from alert price as Day 0

DateAnnouncementVerdictAlert PriceSince AlertDay 1Day 5Day 20
↓ Downgradedfrom FAIR VALUE to WAIT
2 June 26PGO: Strategic Demerger of North Qld Assets
🟑Wait
β€”
β€”
β€”
β€”
β€”
5 May 26Works Approval Granted for Dingo Range Gold Project
βš–οΈFair Value
A$5.73
-1.7%
A$5.89
+1.8%
+4.5%
β€”
↑ Upgradedfrom WAIT to FAIR VALUE
28 Jan 26Mineral Resource Update to Support Dingo Range Development
βš–οΈFair Value
β€”
-36.1%
A$5.11
-6.9%
-17.6%
-13.3%
↓ Downgradedfrom FAIR VALUE to WAIT
27 Feb 25Trading Halt
🟑Wait
β€”
β€”
β€”
β€”
β€”
10 Feb 25Okvau Gold Mine Ore Reserve Increased by 245Koz
βš–οΈFair Value
β€”
+18.0%
A$5.11
-4.6%
-6.7%
-10.4%

Day 1 = 1 trading day after alert. Day 5 = 5 trading days. Day 20 = 20 trading days. Live = current price vs alert price. Each alert tracks independently β€” a re-rating starts fresh tracking from the new alert price.