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ATM - ANEKA TAMBANG (PERSERO) TBK (PT)

2026-04-28|52wk: -|- shares
⚖️
Fair Value
Price
A$0.960
Target
A$0.045
Upside
-95%
Mkt Cap
A$4.6B
Cash
Limited
0

Investment Thesis

ANEKA TAMBANG (PERSERO) TBK (PT) (ATM) is trading broadly in line with peer benchmarks and in-situ valuation metrics. The current price reflects the project's stage and risk profile appropriately. At a market cap of A$4.6B, the gold explorer holds a resource of Not reported this quarter; exploration expenditure Rp18.35B (~A$1.7M) — minimal for a company this size. Quarterly Activities Report 1Q26.

What No One Else Is Seeing

1
Discovery

N/A — quarterly production report, no drill intercep...

ANEKA TAMBANG (PERSERO) TBK (PT) has delivered significant intercept: N/A — quarterly production report, no drill intercepts disclosed. This result adds to the project's growing dataset at the gold project.

2
Geological Edge

Gold - grassroots exploration

Asset quality scores 0/5, reflecting a grassroots exploration stage. The current resource base of Not reported this quarter; exploration expenditure Rp18.35B (~A$1.7M) — minimal for a company this size provides tangible value. Gold market dynamics are supportive at current commodity prices.

3
Valuation

Fair Value Assessment

At a share price of A$0.960 (market cap: A$4.6B), ATM is trading near or above fair value. Our fair value range of A$0.040-0.050 per share implies -95% to the midpoint.

4
Risk Factor

Key Concerns

Balance sheet scores 0/5 (tight cash position). Funding risk is elevated - a capital raise may be required within 6-12 months to continue exploration. Key risk factors should be monitored.

Key Drill Intercepts

HoleFromWidthGradeComment
Best Result--N/A — quarterly production report-

Valuation & Price Target

Our fair value range of A$0.040-0.050 per share is derived from in-situ oz multiples appropriate for grassroots gold projects. The stock is trading above our assessed fair value range.

Bear
A$0.028
A$134M
Base
A$0.045
A$216M
Bull
A$0.065
A$312M

Key Risks

Exploration risk - resource expansion drilling may disappoint. Funding risk - tight cash position may necessitate a dilutive capital raise. Commodity risk - gold price movements directly impact project economics and valuation.

Key Catalysts

DateEvent
Near-termPending drill results / assays
Q2-Q3 2026Resource estimate update
H2 2026Follow-up drilling campaign
AI Analyst Note

ATM at A$0.960 is reasonably priced for its stage but lacks the asymmetric upside we look for in our top picks. The key intercept of N/A — quarterly production report, no drill intercepts disclosed provides the technical foundation for our thesis. Cash position is a concern - watch for placement announcements.

This report is prepared by Clubroom Research for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. All opinions and estimates are subject to change without notice. Always do your own research and consult a licensed financial adviser before making investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

AI-Generated Analysis - This report was produced using Clubroom Stocks' proprietary AI engine, built on our own curated databases, custom training pipelines, and specialist prompting frameworks developed exclusively for ASX resource sector analysis. This is not financial advice. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.

Rating History — 1 alert

🌍 AustraliaTier 1 (full upside)

All returns measured from alert price as Day 0

DateAnnouncementVerdictAlert PriceSince AlertDay 1Day 5Day 20
28 Apr 26Quarterly Activities Report 1Q26
⚖️Fair Value
A$0.960
+3.1%
A$0.990
0.0%
+1.0%
+2.1%

Day 1 = 1 trading day after alert. Day 5 = 5 trading days. Day 20 = 20 trading days. Live = current price vs alert price. Each alert tracks independently — a re-rating starts fresh tracking from the new alert price.