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ASL - ANDEAN SILVER LIMITED

07 Jul 2026, 08:23 AM AEST|52wk: -|- shares
⚖️
Fair Value
Price
A$2.14
Target
A$2.00
Upside
+-7%
Mkt Cap
A$455M
Cash
-
0

Investment Thesis

Classic LS epithermal vein-breccia system with bonanza-grade shoots — headline 25,340 g/t AgEq is genuinely exceptional and consistent with high-grade LS systems like Fresnillo or Pirquitas. Critical caveat: intercepts are narrow (0.8–3.3m downhole) and true widths are not disclosed, so vein dip corrections could meaningfully reduce the grade-width product. Continuity across Trinidad (800m strike) and Delia SE is encouraging for M&I conversion.

What No One Else Is Seeing

1
Discovery

2.4m @ 15,558 g/t AgEq (1,882 g/t Ag, 164.8 g/t Au) — CBD...

Also: 3.1m @ 3,356 g/t AgEq (Delia SE); 3.0m @ 889 g/t AgEq; multiple intercepts 300–1,100 g/t AgEq across Trinidad, Temer, Coyita. Resource: 20Mt @ 211 g/t AgEq = 136Moz AgEq (Indicated + Inferred, JORC 2012, June 2026)

2
Geological Edge

Cerro Bayo Project, Aysen Region, Chile

Classic LS epithermal vein-breccia system with bonanza-grade shoots — headline 25,340 g/t AgEq is genuinely exceptional and consistent with high-grade LS systems like Fresnillo or Pirquitas. Critical caveat: intercepts are narrow (0.8–3.3m downhole) and true widths are not disclosed, so vein dip corrections could meaningfully reduce the grade-width product. Continuity across Trinidad (800m strike) and Delia SE is encouraging for M&I conversion.

3
Valuation

Fair Value Assessment

136Moz AgEq at a developer in-situ multiple of ~A$3.50–4.00/oz AgEq implies A$476–544M, broadly in line with the current A$455M market cap. Catalysts are feasibility study commencement and resource growth drilling at Guanaco/Raul/Marcela — success there could re-rate; but the stock is not materially cheap today.

4
Risk Factor

Key Concerns

True widths undisclosed for all intercepts (narrow epithermal veins routinely yield 40–60% true-width corrections); resource is predominantly Inferred; Chile jurisdictional/permitting risk; no Ore Reserve or mine schedule yet.

Key Drill Intercepts

HoleFromWidthGradeComment
Best--2.4m @ 153.1m @ 3,356 g/t AgEq (Delia SE); 3.0m @ 889 g/t AgEq; multiple intercepts 300–1,100 g/t AgEq across Trinidad, Temer, Coyita

Valuation & Price Target

136Moz AgEq at a developer in-situ multiple of ~A$3.50–4.00/oz AgEq implies A$476–544M, broadly in line with the current A$455M market cap. Catalysts are feasibility study commencement and resource growth drilling at Guanaco/Raul/Marcela — success there could re-rate; but the stock is not materially cheap today.

Bear
A$1.15
Base
A$2.00
Bull
A$3.06

Key Risks

True widths undisclosed for all intercepts (narrow epithermal veins routinely yield 40–60% true-width corrections); resource is predominantly Inferred; Chile jurisdictional/permitting risk; no Ore Reserve or mine schedule yet.

Key Catalysts

DateEvent
Near-termPending drill results / assays
Medium-termResource estimate update
AI Analyst Note

World-class vein grades but fully priced — the re-rating thesis hinges on resource growth and M&I conversion, not today's drill results.

This report is prepared by Clubroom Research for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. All opinions and estimates are subject to change without notice. Always do your own research and consult a licensed financial adviser before making investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

AI-Generated Analysis - This report was produced using Clubroom Stocks' proprietary AI engine, built on our own curated databases, custom training pipelines, and specialist prompting frameworks developed exclusively for ASX resource sector analysis. This is not financial advice. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.

Mine Sites(2)

Avg score: 3.0/5.0

3.0

Rating History — 12 alerts

🌍 AustraliaTier 1 (full upside)

All returns measured from alert price as Day 0

DateAnnouncementVerdictAlert PriceSince AlertDay 1Day 5Day 20
6 July 26Andean drills highest grades ever at Cerro Bayo Project
⚖️Fair Value
A$2.14
↓ Downgradedfrom UNDERVALUED to FAIR VALUE
13 May 26Andean Silver extends bonanza-grade veins beyond resources
⚖️Fair Value
A$2.44
-28.7%
A$1.73
-5.4%
-19.0%
5 Apr 26ASL Shows Epithermal Promise But Premium Valuation Limits Upside
💎Undervalued
A$1.97
+5.8%
A$2.08
-4.8%
-1.8%
-1.8%
↑ Upgradedfrom WAIT to UNDERVALUED
9 Feb 26Drilling continues to intersect high-grade at Cerro Bayo
💎Undervalued
+3.0%
A$2.05
0.0%
-11.3%
+9.1%
8 Dec 25Successful $30m Placement plus SPP
🟡Wait
↑ Upgradedfrom PASS to WAIT
4 Dec 25Trading Halt
🟡Wait
↓ Downgradedfrom UNDERVALUED to PASS
2 Dec 25High-grade assays show Cerro Bayo poised for further growth
📉Pass
-7.2%
A$1.94
-11.5%
+16.3%
+17.2%
21 Oct 25High-grade silver & gold intersections extend mineralisation
💎Undervalued
+17.5%
A$2.08
+0.8%
-10.7%
-5.4%
9 Oct 25Temer drilling intersects thick, high-grade mineralisation
💎Undervalued
0.0%
A$1.94
+3.1%
+7.2%
-12.1%
↑ Upgradedfrom WAIT to UNDERVALUED
18 Aug 25Multiple high-grade silver-gold mineralised veins discovered
💎Undervalued
+52.4%
A$2.08
-6.6%
+4.8%
+24.2%
18 July 25Strongly supported A$30m Placement
🟡Wait
16 July 25Trading Halt
🟡Wait

Day 1 = 1 trading day after alert. Day 5 = 5 trading days. Day 20 = 20 trading days. Live = current price vs alert price. Each alert tracks independently — a re-rating starts fresh tracking from the new alert price.